Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.857567 1.937468 2.019683 2.110786 2.209133 2.312343 2.429163
2025-12-14 1.678673 1.788037 1.904741 2.039213 2.190733 2.357205 2.555361
2025-12-21 1.579658 1.711927 1.857432 2.030820 2.233772 2.466350 2.756863
2025-12-28 1.517668 1.669639 1.841347 2.052260 2.308015 2.613187 3.013115
2026-01-04 1.438697 1.600872 1.787899 2.023140 2.316590 2.678600 3.172855
2026-01-11 1.390370 1.563790 1.767721 2.030185 2.366909 2.796605 3.409054
2026-01-18 1.355553 1.539849 1.760543 2.050852 2.433569 2.938689 3.691218
2026-01-25 1.308599 1.497997 1.728041 2.035933 2.450843 3.013912 3.885037
2026-02-01 1.259002 1.450164 1.685031 2.003859 2.441419 3.049393 4.021385
2026-02-08 1.200593 1.388725 1.621688 1.941039 2.384940 3.012122 4.038953
2026-02-15 1.160711 1.349086 1.584465 1.910807 2.371246 3.034838 4.153028
2026-02-22 1.131746 1.322143 1.562337 1.899421 2.382769 3.094757 4.334031
2026-03-01 1.095998 1.287083 1.530527 1.876505 2.381112 3.141968 4.514220
2026-03-08 1.054520 1.243396 1.485878 1.833915 2.348427 3.138967 4.607267
2026-03-15 1.032353 1.224232 1.473260 1.835788 2.382305 3.245640 4.922078
2026-03-22 1.019270 1.216463 1.475535 1.858808 2.449798 3.414489 5.392678
2026-03-29 0.991431 1.187941 1.448089 1.836877 2.445082 3.459293 5.616815
2026-04-05 0.975318 1.174578 1.440960 1.844333 2.487410 3.590788 6.059964
2026-04-12 0.963780 1.166912 1.441302 1.862694 2.548458 3.762948 6.644746
2026-04-19 0.943291 1.146251 1.422348 1.850478 2.557232 3.837308 7.008474
2026-04-26 0.919379 1.120153 1.394691 1.823443 2.538786 3.856537 7.232008
2026-05-03 0.888591 1.083765 1.351186 1.769998 2.471705 3.773114 7.152354
2026-05-10 0.867523 1.060434 1.325913 1.744214 2.451509 3.782879 7.346158